San Rafael CA Real Estate Market Report (November 2009 Home Sales Update)

November 9, 2009

San Rafael, California real estate sales were brisk in October 2009. We experienced 44 trades, up from 31 in September 2009. The entry level price band (under $600K) remains at hot, with 70% of home now in escrow, up from 64% last month. Meanwhile, the $600K to $800K price band (a mix of entry level and move-up homes) remains nearly the identical to last month (36% of these homes are in escrow).

It is no secret that our current real estate environment in San Rafael favors buyers, not only because of the state of the market, but also because of superior interest rates, FHA loan availability (allowing purchase loans up to $729,000 with 3.5% down), and a shifting mindset by both buyers (who are ready to pull the trigger) and sellers (who are ready to do what it takes to sell). Meanwhile, housing inventory for single family homes fell to 135 homes (from 154 last month).

As reported this Summer, San Rafael listing prices experienced a brief rise from March to June, but that trend has reversed and resumed its downward trajectory. By comparison, asking prices in Novato have been rising for several months, leading many to believe that the bottom has formed in Novato. It does not appear this transition has fully settled in San Rafael.

Real Estate Market Chart by Altos Research www.altosresearch.com

Of the 44 homes sold in September 2009, the average days on market was 87 days, the average sales price was $839,518, and the average home size was 2,082 square feet — roughly $404 per sq. ft. (the average price per square foot has  remained virtually unchanged for several months). Homes in Lucas Valley, The Dominican, Terra Linda North, and Peacock Gap generated the most calls and showings this past month.

Price Range Total Homes Percent Pending
Up to $600K 44 70%
$600K – $800K 70 36%
$800K – $1 mil. 46 17%
$1 mil. – 1.5 mil. 31 23%
$1.5 mil. – $2 mil. 11 20%
$2 mil. & Up 8 25%

If you would like me to run the exact numbers for your San Rafael neighborhood or if you have any questions about our many delightful communities, just give me a call at (415) 350-9440.

My name is Kyle Frazier. I am a Broker, Certified Residential Specialist (CRS), and a Certified Luxury Home Marketing Specialist (CLHMS), with Christie’s Great Estates | Morgan Lane Realtors | Pacific Union International. It is always my pleasure to be of service.

San Rafael CA Real Estate Market Report (October 2009 Home Sales Update)

October 15, 2009

San Rafael, California’s real estate market continues leaning heavily on foreclosures and short sales for volume. The entry level price band (under $600K) remains at a slow boil with 64% of home are now in escrow, same as last month. Meanwhile, the $600K to $800K price band (a mix of entry level and move-up homes) rose to 38% of homes in escrow from 31% in September 2009).

It is no secret that our current real estate environment favors buyers, not only because of the state of the market (e.g., prices back down to 2003 levels in many cases), but also because of superior interest rates, FHA loan availability (allowing purchase loans up to $729,000 with 3.5% down), and a shifting mindset by both buyers (who are ready to pull the trigger) and sellers (who are ready to do what it takes to sell).

Housing inventory for single family homes in San Rafael fell to 154 homes (from 169 last month). It is interesting to note that while San Rafael’s inventory has risen and its percentage of homes in escrow has dropped, Novato (the next city north) has experienced the opposite. In fact, in the move up market, Novato sales rates eclipse San Rafael’s by a long-shot.

As reported this Summer, San Rafael listing prices experienced a brief rise, but that trend has reversed and resumed its downward trajectory. By comparison, asking prices in Novato have been rising for several months, leading many to believe that the bottom has formed in Novato. It does not appear this phenomenon is being replicated in San Rafael.

Real Estate Market Chart by Altos Research www.altosresearch.com

Thirty-one homes sold in September 2009. The average days on market was 109 days, the average sales price was $710,946 (down from $846,194 last month) and the average home size was 1,822 square feet — roughly $402 per sq. ft. (despite the dip average sales price, the price per square foot remained virtually unchanged). Homes in Lucas Valley, The Dominican, Terra Linda North, and Peacock Gap generated the most calls and showings this past month.

Price Range Total Homes Percent Pending
Up to $600K 45 64%
$600K – $800K 89 38%
$800K – $1 mil. 50 20%
$1 mil. – 1.5 mil. 34 24%
$1.5 mil. – $2 mil. 10 0%
$2 mil. & Up 10 40%

If you would like me to run the exact numbers for your San Rafael neighborhood or if you have any questions about our many delightful communities, just give me a call at (415) 350-9440. My name is Kyle Frazier. I am a Broker, Certified Residential Specialist (CRS) and a Certified Luxury Home Marketing Specialist (CLHMS), with Christie’s Great Estates | Morgan Lane International Real Estate. It is always my pleasure to be of service.

San Rafael CA Real Estate Market Report (September 2009 Home Sales Update)

September 18, 2009

San Rafael, California’s real estate market continues its reliance on foreclosures and short sales for momentum. The entry level price band (under $600K) remains hot, although, not as hot — 64% of home are now in escrow, compared with 84% last month. The $600K to $800K price band is steady with with 32% of homes in escrow (down 3% from August 2009).

The buying environment is very favorable as increased affordability, low interest rates, an increased presence of FHA loans, and a shifting mindset by both buyers and sellers, are all positively impacting lower price points. Additionally, the $8K tax credit for first time home buyers is likely helping pull some buyers into the fray, despite the income limitations placed on this credit. It will be interesting to see if the government expands the credit to include ALL buyers and increases the credit amount to $15,000 — that would make a big difference for a lot of people. Overall, the number of homes on the market rose to 169 homes (from 142 last month). It is interesting to note that while San Rafael’s inventory has risen and its percentage of homes in escrow has dropped, Novato (the next city north) has experienced the opposite.

San Rafael listing prices experienced a brief rise earlier this Summer, but have resumed their downward trajectory. By comparison, asking prices in Novato have been rising for several months, leading many to beleive that the bottom has formed in Novato. It does not appear this phenomenon is being replicated in San Rafael.

Real Estate Market Chart by Altos Research www.altosresearch.com

Thirty-nine homes sold in August 2009, which is comparable to the 38 sold June 2009 — these are pretty good numbers in our “new market”. The average days on market was 87 days, the average sales price was $802,352 (up from $802K in August 2009), and the average home size was 2,145 square feet — roughly $397 per sq. ft.

The hottest neighborhoods: Lucas Valley, The Dominican,  Terra Linda and Peacock Gap. Finally, if you know anyone interested in a very well maintained Eichler with a wonderful outdoor living area, please let me know as I have clients considering a move if the right buyer comes along.

Price Range Total Homes Percent Pending
Up to $600K 42 64%
$600K – $800K 92 32%
$800K – $1 mil. 48 17%
$1 mil. – 1.5 mil. 35 17%
$1.5 mil. – $2 mil. 14 0%
$2 mil. & Up 8 0%

If you have any questions regarding the current real estate market in San Rafael (Marin County, CA), California, please contact Kyle Frazier, Marin Realtor, CRS, Member Institute of Luxury Home Marketing, Cristie’s Great Estates | Pacific Union International dba Morgan Lane Marin Real Estate: (415) 350-9440.