Pacific Union San Rafael, CA Real Estate Update (April 2013 Real Estate Report)

April 9, 2013

Pacific Union San Rafael, CA Real Estate Update (April 2013 Real Estate Report).  The number of real estate transactions in San Rafael, CA in March 2013 was impressive — with 36 sales (up from 32 sales in February), San Rafael is experiencing increased buyer interest as prices continue adjusting upwards farther south in Marin County. Indeed, just like the rest of Marin County, the inventory level of homes for sale in San Rafael remains extremely low (as of this writing, there were just 43 homes actively on the MLS in San Rafael).  And I have little doubt that the number of sales would be significantly higher if we had more homes to sell. At this point, San Rafael’s absorption rate remains near the lowest point in memory (I have been saying this now for a couple of months) with just over 1-month’s worth of homes — e.g., the number of homes on the market is enough to satisfy just over month’s worth of sales. As with much of the rest of Marin, it appears most sellers are holding out for higher prices in 2013. Nonetheless, this is an extraordinary time to sell! We are now entering the primary selling season and we anticipate higher levels of inventory. It will be interesting to see what impact, if any, higher supply will have on pricing and buyer perception.

Averages relating to San Rafael home sales in March 2013 are as follows:

  • days on market — 109
  • sales price — $918K
  • home size was 2,325 square feet
  • $403 per sq. ft.

Properties in Los Ranchitos, Lucas Valley Estates, Peacock Gap, The Dominican, and Loch Lomond  generated the most calls and showings this past month. If you would like me to run the exact numbers for your San Rafael, CA neighborhood or if you have any questions about our many delightful communities, schools, shopping options, etc., just give me a call at (415) 350-9440. My name is Kyle Frazier. I am a Top 1% in Marin, a J.D., Broker, Realtor, Member of the Top Agent Network & Marin Platinum Group, a Certified Residential Specialist (CRS), and a Certified Luxury Home Marketing Specialist (CLHMS), with Christie’s International Real Estate | Pacific Union International. It is always my pleasure to be of service.

Pacific Union San Rafael, CA Real Estate Update (January 2012 Real Estate Report)

January 30, 2012

San Rafael, CA’s December 2011 home sales remained unchanged from November 2011’s total of 33 trades. Averages relating to San Rafael home sales in December 2011 are as follows:
days on market — 105
sales price — $668K
home size was 1,915 square feet
$357 per sq. ft.
Properties in Sun Valley, Lucas Valley, Peacock Gap, and The Dominican generated the most calls and showings this past month. If you would like me to run the exact numbers for your San Rafael neighborhood or if you have any questions about our many delightful communities, just give me a call at (415) 350-9440. My name is Kyle Frazier. I am a J.D., Broker, Realtor, Certified Residential Specialist (CRS), and a Certified Luxury Home Marketing Specialist (CLHMS), with Christie’s International Real Estate | Pacific Union International. It is always my pleasure to be of service.

Pacific Union San Rafael, CA Real Estate Update (June 2011 Home Sales Report)

June 29, 2011

San Rafael, CA’s May 2011 home sales held steady (up one trade from May). The entry level price band (under $600K) remains strong — 34 of these homes are currently in escrow (WOW!). Meanwhile, the $600K to $800K price band (a mix of entry level and move-up homes) remains buyer-friendly and accounts for another 23 of homes in escrow. While the entry level market stood alone a well-performing market sector in February, we are now seeing some significant activity in the $600K to $800K range where 40% of homes are in escrow. Same as in May, 28 of our sales last month were under $800K. There are currently 136 homes active on the MLS, about 20 less than last month. Averages relating to the 37 homes which sold in June 2011 are as follows:

  • days on market — 84
  • sales price — $736,784
  • home size was 2,191 square feet
  • $342 per sq. ft.

Homes in Gerstle Park, Lucas Valley, and The Dominican generated the most calls and showings this past month. If you would like me to run the exact numbers for your San Rafael neighborhood or if you have any questions about our many delightful communities, just give me a call at (415) 350-9440. My name is Kyle Frazier. I am a J.D., Broker, Realtor, Certified Residential Specialist (CRS), and a Certified Luxury Home Marketing Specialist (CLHMS), with Christie’s Great Estates | Pacific Union International. It is always my pleasure to be of service.

Pacific Union International San Rafael CA Real Estate Market Report (September 2010 Home Sales Update)

September 27, 2010

San Rafael, California real estate sales in August 2010:  25 sales. The entry level price band (under $600K) remains relatively strong — 29 of these homes are currently in escrow (39%). Meanwhile, the $600K to $800K price band (a mix of entry level and move-up homes) remains buyer-friendly with 17% of homes in escrow. The inventory for single family homes for sale increased a bit this month as it does every year after Labor Day. There are currently 217 homes active on the MLS. Price per square foot stands at $357.

Of the 34 homes sold in June 2010, the average:

  • days on market was 90 days
  • sales price was $765,287
  • home size was 2,151 square feet
  • $357 per sq. ft.

Homes in  Lucas Valley, Loch Lomond, and Peacock Gap generated the most calls and showings this past month. If you would like me to run the exact numbers for your San Rafael neighborhood or if you have any questions about our many delightful communities, just give me a call at (415) 350-9440. My name is Kyle Frazier. I am a Broker, Realtor, Certified Residential Specialist (CRS), and a Certified Luxury Home Marketing Specialist (CLHMS), with Christie’s Great Estates | Pacific Union International. It is always my pleasure to be of service.

Pacific Union International San Rafael CA Real Estate Market Report (August 2010 Home Sales Update)

August 23, 2010

San Rafael, California real estate sales slipped in July 2010. We had 33 trades (compared to 45 in June). The entry level price band (under $600K) remains strong — 24 of these homes are currently in escrow (40%). Meanwhile, the $600K to $800K price band (a mix of entry level and move-up homes) remains tepid with 22% of homes in escrow. The inventory for single family homes for sale decreased slightly this month to 177 homes. Price per square foot rose above $400.

Of the 34 homes sold in June 2010, the average:

  • days on market was 76 days
  • sales price was $797,669
  • home size was 2,028 square feet
  • $403 per sq. ft.

Homes in  Lucas Valley and The Dominican generated the most calls and showings this past month. If you would like me to run the exact numbers for your San Rafael neighborhood or if you have any questions about our many delightful communities, just give me a call at (415) 350-9440. My name is Kyle Frazier. I am a Broker, Realtor, Certified Residential Specialist (CRS), and a Certified Luxury Home Marketing Specialist (CLHMS), with Christie’s Great Estates | Pacific Union International. It is always my pleasure to be of service.

San Rafael CA Real Estate Market Report (November 2009 Home Sales Update)

November 9, 2009

San Rafael, California real estate sales were brisk in October 2009. We experienced 44 trades, up from 31 in September 2009. The entry level price band (under $600K) remains at hot, with 70% of home now in escrow, up from 64% last month. Meanwhile, the $600K to $800K price band (a mix of entry level and move-up homes) remains nearly the identical to last month (36% of these homes are in escrow).

It is no secret that our current real estate environment in San Rafael favors buyers, not only because of the state of the market, but also because of superior interest rates, FHA loan availability (allowing purchase loans up to $729,000 with 3.5% down), and a shifting mindset by both buyers (who are ready to pull the trigger) and sellers (who are ready to do what it takes to sell). Meanwhile, housing inventory for single family homes fell to 135 homes (from 154 last month).

As reported this Summer, San Rafael listing prices experienced a brief rise from March to June, but that trend has reversed and resumed its downward trajectory. By comparison, asking prices in Novato have been rising for several months, leading many to believe that the bottom has formed in Novato. It does not appear this transition has fully settled in San Rafael.

Real Estate Market Chart by Altos Research www.altosresearch.com

Of the 44 homes sold in September 2009, the average days on market was 87 days, the average sales price was $839,518, and the average home size was 2,082 square feet — roughly $404 per sq. ft. (the average price per square foot has  remained virtually unchanged for several months). Homes in Lucas Valley, The Dominican, Terra Linda North, and Peacock Gap generated the most calls and showings this past month.

Price Range Total Homes Percent Pending
Up to $600K 44 70%
$600K – $800K 70 36%
$800K – $1 mil. 46 17%
$1 mil. – 1.5 mil. 31 23%
$1.5 mil. – $2 mil. 11 20%
$2 mil. & Up 8 25%

If you would like me to run the exact numbers for your San Rafael neighborhood or if you have any questions about our many delightful communities, just give me a call at (415) 350-9440.

My name is Kyle Frazier. I am a Broker, Certified Residential Specialist (CRS), and a Certified Luxury Home Marketing Specialist (CLHMS), with Christie’s Great Estates | Morgan Lane Realtors | Pacific Union International. It is always my pleasure to be of service.

San Rafael CA Real Estate Market Report (June 2009 Home Sales Update)

June 13, 2009

Moving into the Summer, San Rafael CA’s real estate market is increasingly fueled by foreclosures and short sales. The low end (under $600K) has been hot (64% of homes in escrow). Meanwhile, the $600K to $800K price band has seen a surge in activity with 38% of these homes in escrow, up from 29% in May 2009. Increased affordability, low interest rates (although not as low as they were), an increased presence of FHA loans, and a shifting mindset are all resulting in a strengthening market. Additionally, the $8K tax credit for first time home buyers is likely helping pull some buyers into the fray, despite the income limitations placed on this credit. It will be interesting to see if the government expands the credit to include ALL buyers and increases the credit amount to $15,000 — that would make a big difference for a lot of people. Overall, the number of homes on the market fell to 168 homes (from 179 last month).

Real Estate Market Chart by Altos Research www.altosresearch.com

Forty homes sold in May 2009 (up from 26 in April 2009). The average days on market was 99 days, the average sales price was $763,000, and the average home size was 1,902 square feet — roughly $411 per sq. ft. The hottest neighborhoods: Lucas Valley, The Dominican, and Forbes remain very attractive to many buyers, as do Terra Linda, Trestle Glen, Los Ranchitos, and Glenwood. Finally, if you know anyone interested in a very well maintained Eichler with a wonderful patio, please let me know as I have clients considering a move if the right buyer comes along. 

Price Range

Total Homes

Pending Listings

   Up to $600K

            45 (down 3)

64%

$600K – $800K

84 (down 2)

38% 

$800K – $1 mil.

48 (no change)

29%

$1 mil. – 1.5 mil.

43 (down 4)

9%

$1.5 mil. – $2 mil.

22 (up 3)

9%

$2 mil. & Up

9 (down 2)

22%

If you have any questions regarding the current real estate market in San Rafael (Marin County, CA), California, please contact Kyle Frazier, Marin Realtor & CRS, Morgan Lane Marin Real Estate: (415) 350-9440.

San Rafael CA Real Estate Market Report (May 2009 Home Sales Update)

May 14, 2009

As noted last month, San Rafael CA’s real estate market is increasingly fueled by foreclosures and short sales. The low end (under $600K) is just on fire with “fire sale” prices. We are currently experiencing an amazing 69% pending ratio for homes priced at or below $600K (up from 31% in February). San Rafael’s bread and butter homes, priced between $600K and $800K continue selling at a moderate pace with 29% of homes are in escrow. Increasing affordability, low interest rates on conforming loans, an increased presence of FHA loans, and a shifting mindset are all resulting in a strengthening market. Additionally, the $8K tax credit for first time home buyers is likely helping pull some buyers into the fray, despite the income limitations placed on this credit.

Real Estate Market Chart by Altos Research www.altosresearch.com 

Overall, the number of homes on the market rose slightly with 179 homes (up from 174 last month and about 135 last year at this time). What is striking is the comparison between this month in 2006 and today. See below for more on this.

Twenty-six homes sold in April 2009 (up from 19 in March 2009). The average days on market was 118 days, the average sales price was $680,000, square footage was 1,791–roughly $383 per sq. ft. By contrast, in 2006 46 homes sold for an average price of $1.1 million (about $497/sq. ft.). Moreover, the homes sold in half the time (53 days). While the times have changed, the hottest neighborhoods have not: Lucas Valley, The Dominican, and Forbes remain very attractive to many buyers, as to Terra Linda, Trestle Glen, Los Ranchitos, and Glenwood. Finally, if you know anyone interested in a very well maintained Eichler with a wonderful patio, please let me know as I have clients considering a move if the right buyer comes along.

Price Range

Total Homes

Pending Listings

               Up to $600K

               48 (down 4)

                    69%

$600K – $800K

86 (up 21)

29% 

$800K – $1 mil.

48 (up 7)

29%

$1 mil. – 1.5 mil.

47 (up 4)

6%

$1.5 mil. – $2 mil.

19 (down 2)

16%

$2 mil. & Up

11 (down 2)

9%

If you have any questions regarding the current real estate market in San Rafael (Marin County), California, please contact Kyle Frazier, Marin Realtor & CRS, Morgan Lane Marin: (415) 350-9440.

San Rafael Real Estate Market Report (March 2009 Home Sales Update)

March 9, 2009

Following Novato’s lead, San Rafael’s real estate market is gathering momentum at the low end as foreclosures and short sales drive the market. We are currently experiencing 31% pending ratio for homes priced at or below $600K. Although not as strong a market segment as Novato, I would still characterize it as competitive price band.

Importantly, San Rafael’s bread and butter homes, priced between $600K and $800K continue selling at a rapid clip — 31% of these homes are in escrow (up 2% from January 2009). Low interest rates on conforming loans are helping many buyers in the lower price ranges attain home ownership. Meanwhile, rates for conforming jumbo loans are a bit higher and apparently not being embraced by buyers as the San Rafael housing market is flat above $1 million (see lower chart). But, the $8K tax credit for first time home buyers should also help pull buyers into the fray as value priced properties come onto the market. Amazingly, we have 15 homes currently being marketed under $500,000 (there were just 5 last month), and another 16 under $600,000. Overall, the number of homes on the market remains relatively low, with 153 homes (up from 142 last month). 

As many inquiries come in regarding the distressed market, the chart below illustrates the number of, and percentage of, distressed sales so far in 2009.

SFH Sales – January 1 – March 6, 2009

   

Total

 

Distressed

 

% of Total

Marin County

 

142

 

46

 

32%

             

San Rafael & Novato

 

73

 

34

 

47%

             

All Other Cities

 

69

 

12

 

17%

             

Source:  BAREIS March 8,2009

         

Roughly 50% of the sales in Marin County this year were in San Rafael and Novato. Of these San Rafael and Novato sales, nearly 50% were distressed sales. In all other cities the distressed component of the market is roughly 17%. 

Despite the relatively high ratio of pendings in San Rafael, only 12 homes sold in February 2009 (granted, that is a short month), which is 33% lower than January 2009. The average days on market was 148 days, sales price was $673,000, square footage was 1,846–roughly $394 per sq. ft. San Rafael’s strongest micro-climate markets in were Terra Linda, Lucas Valley, and Peacock Gap. Finally, if you know anyone interested in an Atrium Eichler on a quiet cul-de-sac, please let me know as 25 Calafia Court in Terra Linda is currently active.

Price Range

Total Homes

Pending Listings

                Up to $600K                    42 (up 2)                     40%

$600K – $800K

61 (up 9)

29% 

$800K – $1 mil.

35 (no change)

11%

$1 mil. – 1.5 mil.

33 (up 6)

0%

$1.5 mil. – $2 mil.

11 (down 1)

10%

$2 mil. & Up

16 (up 3)

0%

If you have any questions regarding the current real estate market in San Rafael, CA, please contact Kyle Frazier, Marin Realtor & CRS, Morgan Lane Marin Real Estate: (415) 350-9440. 

San Rafael Real Estate Market Report (February 2009 Home Sales Update)

February 12, 2009

Following Novato’s lead, San Rafael’s real estate market is gathering momentum at the low end as foreclosures and short sales drive the market. With 40% of the homes for sale under $600K currently in escrow, we are looking at a pretty strong seller’s market in this competitive price range. Homes priced between $600K and $800K are also selling at a rapid clip — 29% of these homes are in escrow. While interest rates on conforming loans are super-low (again down to 4.75% as of today), the rates for conforming jumbo loans are a bit higher and apparently not being embraced by buyers as the San Rafael housing market is flat above $1 million (see below chart). At this time it is unclear what new benefits, if any, home buyers may reap from the new Stimulus Bill (click here for my recent article on this topic ). There are currently 5 houses on the market under $500,000, and another 19 under $600,000. Overall, the number of homes on the market remains low, with 142 homes (up from 114 last month). 

18 single family homes sold in January 2009 (same as January 2009), the average days on market was 105 days. These homes averaged about 1,864 square feet and sold for an average price of about $662,000–roughly $366 per sq. ft. San Rafael’s strongest micro-climate markets in were Terra Linda, Peacock Gap, and Lucas Valley. Finally, if you know anyone interested in an Atrium Eichler on a quiet cul-de-sac, please let me know as 25 Calafia Court in Terra Linda is currently active. 

Price Range

Total Homes

Pending Listings

       Up to $600K            40 (up 1)           40%

$600K – $800K

55 (down 24)

29% 

$800K – $1 mil.

35 (up 10)

11%

$1 mil. – 1.5 mil.

27 (up 6)

7%

$1.5 mil. – $2 mil.

11 (up 2)

9%

$2 mil. & Up

13 (up 3)

0%

If you have any questions regarding the current real estate market in San Rafael, California, please contact Kyle Frazier, Marin Realtor & CRS, Frank Howard Allen Realtors Marin: (415) 350-9440.