Pacific Union San Rafael, CA Real Estate Update (February 2013 Real Estate Report)

February 15, 2013

Pacific Union International (San Rafael, CA Real Estate Update) | February 2013. San Rafael, CA’s January 2013 home sales maintained very strong momentum with 24 sales (this is very strong considering these sales were, for the most part, initiated in December — the slowest month of the year for homes sale in Marin County, CA). Just like the rest of Marin County, the inventory level of homes for sale in San Rafael remains extremely low. I have little doubt that sales figures would be significantly higher if there were more homes available for purchase. At this point, San Rafael’s absorption rate remains near the lowest point in memory with just over 1-month’s worth of homes — e.g., the number of homes on the market is enough to satisfy just over month’s worth of sales. For now, it appears most sellers are holding out for higher prices in 2013. By the time the primary selling season rolls around in April and May, I anticipate much higher levels of inventory. It will be interesting to see what impact, if any, higher supply will have on pricing and buyer perception.

Averages relating to San Rafael home sales in January 2013 are as follows:

  • days on market — 102
  • sales price — $765K
  • home size was 1,991 square feet
  • $390 per sq. ft.

Properties in Los Ranchitos, Lucas Valley Estates, Peacock Gap, The Dominican, and Loch Lomond  generated the most calls and showings this past month. If you would like me to run the exact numbers for your San Rafael, CA neighborhood or if you have any questions about our many delightful communities, schools, shopping options, etc., just give me a call at (415) 350-9440. My name is Kyle Frazier. I am a Top 1% in Marin, a J.D., Broker, Realtor, Member of the Top Agent Network & Marin Platinum Group, a Certified Residential Specialist (CRS), and a Certified Luxury Home Marketing Specialist (CLHMS), with Christie’s International Real Estate | Pacific Union International. It is always my pleasure to be of service.

San Rafael CA Real Estate Market Report (August 2009 Home Sales Update)

August 12, 2009

San Rafael, CA’s real estate market is increasingly fueled by foreclosures and short sales. The entry level price band (under $600K) remains extremely hot (84% of such homes are currently in escrow) and the $600K to $800K price band has seen steady activity with 35% of homes in escrow (same as last month). Increased affordability, low interest rates (rates are down from the time of last month’s report), an increased presence of FHA loans, and a shifting mindset by both buyers and sellers, are impacting these price points in a positive manner. Additionally, the $8K tax credit for first time home buyers is likely helping pull some buyers into the fray, despite the income limitations placed on this credit. It will be interesting to see if the government expands the credit to include ALL buyers and increases the credit amount to $15,000 — that would make a big difference for a lot of people. Overall, the number of homes on the market fell to 142 homes (from 159 last month).

The big news in San Rafael real estate this past month revolved around the sale of Carlos Santana’s 1.7 acre, 7,000 square foot estate, which sold for $4.185 million after a short two weeks on the market. Congratulations Carlos! Meanwhile, San Rafael listing prices experienced a brief rise earlier this Summer, but have again begun a downward shift over the past few weeks. By comparison, asking prices in Novato have been rising for several months, leading many to beleive that the bottom has formed in Novato. It does not appear this phenomenon is being replicated in San Rafael.

Real Estate Market Chart by Altos Research www.altosresearch.com

Thirty-two homes sold in July 2009 (down from 38 in June 2009). The average days on market was 103 days, the average sales price was $802,352, and the average home size was 1,902 square feet — roughly $409 per sq. ft. Excluding the Santana estate mentioned above, the numbers are as follows: the average days on market was 106 days, the average sales price was $693,234, and the average home size was 1,737 square feet — roughly $403 per sq. ft.

The hottest neighborhoods: Lucas Valley, The Dominican, and Gerstle Park remain very attractive to many buyers, as do Terra Linda and Peacock Gap. Finally, if you know anyone interested in a very well maintained Eichler with a wonderful outdoor living area, please let me know as I have clients considering a move if the right buyer comes along.

Price Range Total Homes Percent Pending
Up to $600K 38 84%
$600K – $800K 79 35%
$800K – $1 mil. 41 17%
$1 mil. – 1.5 mil. 31 19%
$1.5 mil. – $2 mil. 20 10%
$2 mil. & Up 9 11%

If you have any questions regarding the current real estate market in San Rafael (Marin County, CA), California, please contact Kyle Frazier, Marin Realtor & CRS, Morgan Lane Marin Real Estate: (415) 350-9440.

San Rafael CA Real Estate Market Report (May 2009 Home Sales Update)

May 14, 2009

As noted last month, San Rafael CA’s real estate market is increasingly fueled by foreclosures and short sales. The low end (under $600K) is just on fire with “fire sale” prices. We are currently experiencing an amazing 69% pending ratio for homes priced at or below $600K (up from 31% in February). San Rafael’s bread and butter homes, priced between $600K and $800K continue selling at a moderate pace with 29% of homes are in escrow. Increasing affordability, low interest rates on conforming loans, an increased presence of FHA loans, and a shifting mindset are all resulting in a strengthening market. Additionally, the $8K tax credit for first time home buyers is likely helping pull some buyers into the fray, despite the income limitations placed on this credit.

Real Estate Market Chart by Altos Research www.altosresearch.com 

Overall, the number of homes on the market rose slightly with 179 homes (up from 174 last month and about 135 last year at this time). What is striking is the comparison between this month in 2006 and today. See below for more on this.

Twenty-six homes sold in April 2009 (up from 19 in March 2009). The average days on market was 118 days, the average sales price was $680,000, square footage was 1,791–roughly $383 per sq. ft. By contrast, in 2006 46 homes sold for an average price of $1.1 million (about $497/sq. ft.). Moreover, the homes sold in half the time (53 days). While the times have changed, the hottest neighborhoods have not: Lucas Valley, The Dominican, and Forbes remain very attractive to many buyers, as to Terra Linda, Trestle Glen, Los Ranchitos, and Glenwood. Finally, if you know anyone interested in a very well maintained Eichler with a wonderful patio, please let me know as I have clients considering a move if the right buyer comes along.

Price Range

Total Homes

Pending Listings

               Up to $600K

               48 (down 4)

                    69%

$600K – $800K

86 (up 21)

29% 

$800K – $1 mil.

48 (up 7)

29%

$1 mil. – 1.5 mil.

47 (up 4)

6%

$1.5 mil. – $2 mil.

19 (down 2)

16%

$2 mil. & Up

11 (down 2)

9%

If you have any questions regarding the current real estate market in San Rafael (Marin County), California, please contact Kyle Frazier, Marin Realtor & CRS, Morgan Lane Marin: (415) 350-9440.