Pacific Union San Rafael, CA Real Estate Update (April/May 2011 Home Sales Report)

May 4, 2011

San Rafael, CA’s March and April 2011 home sales jumped significantly — from 22 in February to 38 in March and 36 in April. The entry level price band (under $600K) remains strong — 31 of these homes are currently in escrow (WOW!). Meanwhile, the $600K to $800K price band (a mix of entry level and move-up homes) remains buyer-friendly and accounts for another 23 of homes in escrow. While the entry level market stood alone a well-performing market sector in February, we are now seeing some significant activity in the $600K to $800K range. In fact, 28 of our 36 sales last month were under $800K. There are currently 156 homes active on the MLS. Averages relating to the 74 homes which sold in March and April 2011 are as follows:

  • days on market — 112
  • sales price — $700K
  • home size was 2,050 square feet
  • $694 per sq. ft.

Homes in Lucas Valley, Terra Linda, and The Dominican generated the most calls and showings this past month. If you would like me to run the exact numbers for your San Rafael neighborhood or if you have any questions about our many delightful communities, just give me a call at (415) 350-9440. My name is Kyle Frazier. I am a J.D., Broker, Realtor, Certified Residential Specialist (CRS), and a Certified Luxury Home Marketing Specialist (CLHMS), with Christie’s Great Estates | Pacific Union International. It is always my pleasure to be of service.

San Rafael CA Real Estate Market Report (June 2009 Home Sales Update)

June 13, 2009

Moving into the Summer, San Rafael CA’s real estate market is increasingly fueled by foreclosures and short sales. The low end (under $600K) has been hot (64% of homes in escrow). Meanwhile, the $600K to $800K price band has seen a surge in activity with 38% of these homes in escrow, up from 29% in May 2009. Increased affordability, low interest rates (although not as low as they were), an increased presence of FHA loans, and a shifting mindset are all resulting in a strengthening market. Additionally, the $8K tax credit for first time home buyers is likely helping pull some buyers into the fray, despite the income limitations placed on this credit. It will be interesting to see if the government expands the credit to include ALL buyers and increases the credit amount to $15,000 — that would make a big difference for a lot of people. Overall, the number of homes on the market fell to 168 homes (from 179 last month).

Real Estate Market Chart by Altos Research www.altosresearch.com

Forty homes sold in May 2009 (up from 26 in April 2009). The average days on market was 99 days, the average sales price was $763,000, and the average home size was 1,902 square feet — roughly $411 per sq. ft. The hottest neighborhoods: Lucas Valley, The Dominican, and Forbes remain very attractive to many buyers, as do Terra Linda, Trestle Glen, Los Ranchitos, and Glenwood. Finally, if you know anyone interested in a very well maintained Eichler with a wonderful patio, please let me know as I have clients considering a move if the right buyer comes along. 

Price Range

Total Homes

Pending Listings

   Up to $600K

            45 (down 3)

64%

$600K – $800K

84 (down 2)

38% 

$800K – $1 mil.

48 (no change)

29%

$1 mil. – 1.5 mil.

43 (down 4)

9%

$1.5 mil. – $2 mil.

22 (up 3)

9%

$2 mil. & Up

9 (down 2)

22%

If you have any questions regarding the current real estate market in San Rafael (Marin County, CA), California, please contact Kyle Frazier, Marin Realtor & CRS, Morgan Lane Marin Real Estate: (415) 350-9440.

San Rafael CA Real Estate Market Report (May 2009 Home Sales Update)

May 14, 2009

As noted last month, San Rafael CA’s real estate market is increasingly fueled by foreclosures and short sales. The low end (under $600K) is just on fire with “fire sale” prices. We are currently experiencing an amazing 69% pending ratio for homes priced at or below $600K (up from 31% in February). San Rafael’s bread and butter homes, priced between $600K and $800K continue selling at a moderate pace with 29% of homes are in escrow. Increasing affordability, low interest rates on conforming loans, an increased presence of FHA loans, and a shifting mindset are all resulting in a strengthening market. Additionally, the $8K tax credit for first time home buyers is likely helping pull some buyers into the fray, despite the income limitations placed on this credit.

Real Estate Market Chart by Altos Research www.altosresearch.com 

Overall, the number of homes on the market rose slightly with 179 homes (up from 174 last month and about 135 last year at this time). What is striking is the comparison between this month in 2006 and today. See below for more on this.

Twenty-six homes sold in April 2009 (up from 19 in March 2009). The average days on market was 118 days, the average sales price was $680,000, square footage was 1,791–roughly $383 per sq. ft. By contrast, in 2006 46 homes sold for an average price of $1.1 million (about $497/sq. ft.). Moreover, the homes sold in half the time (53 days). While the times have changed, the hottest neighborhoods have not: Lucas Valley, The Dominican, and Forbes remain very attractive to many buyers, as to Terra Linda, Trestle Glen, Los Ranchitos, and Glenwood. Finally, if you know anyone interested in a very well maintained Eichler with a wonderful patio, please let me know as I have clients considering a move if the right buyer comes along.

Price Range

Total Homes

Pending Listings

               Up to $600K

               48 (down 4)

                    69%

$600K – $800K

86 (up 21)

29% 

$800K – $1 mil.

48 (up 7)

29%

$1 mil. – 1.5 mil.

47 (up 4)

6%

$1.5 mil. – $2 mil.

19 (down 2)

16%

$2 mil. & Up

11 (down 2)

9%

If you have any questions regarding the current real estate market in San Rafael (Marin County), California, please contact Kyle Frazier, Marin Realtor & CRS, Morgan Lane Marin: (415) 350-9440.

San Rafael Real Estate Market Report (March 2009 Home Sales Update)

March 9, 2009

Following Novato’s lead, San Rafael’s real estate market is gathering momentum at the low end as foreclosures and short sales drive the market. We are currently experiencing 31% pending ratio for homes priced at or below $600K. Although not as strong a market segment as Novato, I would still characterize it as competitive price band.

Importantly, San Rafael’s bread and butter homes, priced between $600K and $800K continue selling at a rapid clip — 31% of these homes are in escrow (up 2% from January 2009). Low interest rates on conforming loans are helping many buyers in the lower price ranges attain home ownership. Meanwhile, rates for conforming jumbo loans are a bit higher and apparently not being embraced by buyers as the San Rafael housing market is flat above $1 million (see lower chart). But, the $8K tax credit for first time home buyers should also help pull buyers into the fray as value priced properties come onto the market. Amazingly, we have 15 homes currently being marketed under $500,000 (there were just 5 last month), and another 16 under $600,000. Overall, the number of homes on the market remains relatively low, with 153 homes (up from 142 last month). 

As many inquiries come in regarding the distressed market, the chart below illustrates the number of, and percentage of, distressed sales so far in 2009.

SFH Sales – January 1 – March 6, 2009

   

Total

 

Distressed

 

% of Total

Marin County

 

142

 

46

 

32%

             

San Rafael & Novato

 

73

 

34

 

47%

             

All Other Cities

 

69

 

12

 

17%

             

Source:  BAREIS March 8,2009

         

Roughly 50% of the sales in Marin County this year were in San Rafael and Novato. Of these San Rafael and Novato sales, nearly 50% were distressed sales. In all other cities the distressed component of the market is roughly 17%. 

Despite the relatively high ratio of pendings in San Rafael, only 12 homes sold in February 2009 (granted, that is a short month), which is 33% lower than January 2009. The average days on market was 148 days, sales price was $673,000, square footage was 1,846–roughly $394 per sq. ft. San Rafael’s strongest micro-climate markets in were Terra Linda, Lucas Valley, and Peacock Gap. Finally, if you know anyone interested in an Atrium Eichler on a quiet cul-de-sac, please let me know as 25 Calafia Court in Terra Linda is currently active.

Price Range

Total Homes

Pending Listings

                Up to $600K                    42 (up 2)                     40%

$600K – $800K

61 (up 9)

29% 

$800K – $1 mil.

35 (no change)

11%

$1 mil. – 1.5 mil.

33 (up 6)

0%

$1.5 mil. – $2 mil.

11 (down 1)

10%

$2 mil. & Up

16 (up 3)

0%

If you have any questions regarding the current real estate market in San Rafael, CA, please contact Kyle Frazier, Marin Realtor & CRS, Morgan Lane Marin Real Estate: (415) 350-9440. 

San Rafael Real Estate Market Report (January 2009 Home Sales Update)

January 10, 2009

As I noted last month, San Rafael’s home sales figures remained remarkably consistent throughout the year. Until November 2008, that is. And although 28% of San Rafael listings priced under $800,000 are in escrow (still a buyer’s market), the remaining price bands are suffering further at the hand of the financial crisis. For example, in the $800,000 to $1 million range, we see just 12% of homes in escrow. Beyond that, the market is virtually flat-lining with just one home in escrow over $1 million. We can only home that the new year and all-time low interest rates shake some buyers off the fence–it does appear that banks are beginning to open their purse strings again, albeit only for those who are minimum risk borrowers.

There are currently 19 houses on the market under $600,000, and another 21 under $750,000. Overall, the number of homes on the market remains low, with 114 units currently offered for sale. I do expect a large uptick in listings come the new year as sellers who decided to sit out this past year begin testing the market early and buyers begin to take advantage of the ever-lower interest rates, which some predict may go down as far as 4%.  

Eighteen San Rafael single family homes sold in December 2008 (19 sold in November), the average days on market was 121 days. These homes averaged about 1,888 square feet and sold for an average price of about $695,000–roughly $377 per sq. ft. San Rafael’s strongest micro-climate markets in were Terra Linda, Peacock Gap, and Lucas Valley. Finally, if you know anyone interested in an Atrium Eichler on a quiet cul-de-sac, please let me know as I have one coming on the market in the next couple of weeks.

 

 

Price Range

Total Homes

Pending Listings

Up to $800K

74 (down 11)

28% 

$800K – $1 mil.

25 (down 10)

12%

$1 mil. – 1.5 mil.

21 (down 6)

5%

$1.5 mil. – $2 mil.

9 (down 4)

0%

$2 mil. & Up

10 (down 2)

0%

If you have any questions regarding the current real estate market in San Rafael, California, please contact Kyle Frazier, Marin Realtor & CRS, Frank Howard Allen Realtors Marin: (415) 350-9440.